Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432117 * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Player #4702384 * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Joel Scott * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Lake | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Taviontae Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javonté Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jack Payne | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Player #4397237 * | 26 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Waters * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jay Pal | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Miles Heide | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cade Alger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| BJ Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cam Lawin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter