Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Trammell * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 38 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 14 | - |
| R. Waters * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jay Pal | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Miles Heide | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Coleman * | 40 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jarod Lucas * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nick Davidson * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Kenan Blackshear * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 8 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Rolison | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Hunter McIntosh | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jazz Gardner | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter