Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Brown II * | 40 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Great Osobor * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Ian Martinez * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mason Falslev * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Josh Uduje | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Karson Templin | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kalifa Sakho | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Javon Jackson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon Ledee * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jay Pal * | 25 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| R. Waters * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 21 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Miles Heide | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter