Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Butler * | 30 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Waters * | 30 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 20 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E. Saunders * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Byrd | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Trammell | 21 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Heide | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Pal | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432117 * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Strong * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Scott * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Player #4702384 * | 30 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| P. Cartier * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Lake | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Mbemba | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Palmer | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter