Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Butler * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Waters * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Saunders * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Trammell | 25 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Pal | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Byrd | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Heide | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Stanley * | 33 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| C. Agbo * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Rice * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Degenhart * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Anderson III * | 32 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | - |
| J. Whiting | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Player #4897492 | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Meadow | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter