Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | -1.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (67-66). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon LeDee * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Reese Waters * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 25 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jay Pal | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Miles Heide | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| O'Mar Stanley * | 33 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Max Rice * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Roddie Anderson * | 32 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cam Martin | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Meadow | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter