Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431765 * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| N. Davidson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Foster | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Gardner | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Rolison | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Pope | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 24 | - |
| L. Butler * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Waters * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Saunders * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Pal | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Byrd | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Heide | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter