Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (88-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. LeDee * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| L. Butler * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Waters * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Saunders * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Trammell | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Byrd | 19 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Pal | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Heide | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dent * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. House * | 33 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-10 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 30 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| M. Amzil | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Washington | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Forsling | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Baker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Mushila | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Webb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter