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2024-01-13

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 51.7% 48.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.1 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (88-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. LeDee * 37 6-15 0-0 3-3 6 4 0 0 4 15 6 -
L. Butler * 28 2-5 0-1 3-6 0 5 1 0 2 7 6 -
R. Waters * 26 2-8 2-5 0-1 9 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
E. Saunders * 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Parrish * 16 2-7 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
D. Trammell 31 5-11 1-5 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 12 6 -
M. Byrd 19 5-9 3-4 0-1 3 0 2 0 0 13 9 -
J. Pal 17 1-4 0-2 2-3 4 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
M. Heide 3 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dent * 34 1-8 0-3 4-4 4 4 0 1 2 6 5 -
J. House * 33 7-16 4-9 8-8 6 5 3 1 1 26 24 -
JT Toppin * 31 8-15 0-1 1-10 16 1 2 5 1 17 25 -
J. Mashburn Jr. * 30 7-17 1-6 4-4 4 2 0 0 3 19 5 -
N. Junior Joseph * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 5 0 2 13 -
M. Amzil 18 3-4 2-3 4-5 4 0 0 1 2 12 11 -
T. Washington 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 4 5 -
S. Forsling 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Baker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Mushila 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Webb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter