Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | +17.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +27 (74-47). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier DuSell * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Hill * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Eduardo Andre * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Pope * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Enoch Boakye * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Leo Colimerio | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Weaver | 16 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Donavan Yap | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Isaac Taveras | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Steven Vasquez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Parrish * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jaedon LeDee * | 25 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Reese Waters * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jay Pal | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Miles Heide | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| BJ Davis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cam Lawin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Schwarz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cade Alger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter