Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Henry * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Justin Hohn * | 20 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Carter Welling * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Hayden Welling * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Derin Saran | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Dean Keeler | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Langston Redfield | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dylan Thoerner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Waters * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Miles Heide * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jay Pal | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter