Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (88-76). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Tsohonis * | 33 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Aboubacar Traore * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Lassina Traore * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Isa Silva * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jadon Jones * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| AJ George | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Messiah Thompson | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Amari Stroud | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Varick Lewis | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Parrish * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Player #4397237 * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Reese Waters * | 23 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Miles Heide | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jay Pal | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| BJ Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter