Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aanen Moody * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Josh Vazquez * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dischon Thomas * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Laolu Oke * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Money Williams * | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Whitney | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Giordan Williams | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Blake Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Connor Dick | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adam Shoff | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaxon Nap | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caden Bateman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 33 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Niko Rocak * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Sione Lose | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Pablo Tamba | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Connor Sevilla | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Drew Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter