Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Niko Rocak * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 24 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Pablo Tamba | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sam Manu | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Akanno * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Pope * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Bilodeau * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Christian Wright * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| KC Ibekwe * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chol Marial | 28 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Michael Rataj | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Josiah Lake II | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Justin Rochelin | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Ndong | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter