Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pepper * | 38 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| K. Milling * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Adebayo * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| N. Rocak * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. DeBruhl | 21 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Lose | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Manu | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Tamba | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Whitney * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| A. Moody * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Oke * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| G. Williams * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Vazquez | 25 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nap | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter