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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dedan Thomas Jr. * 36 7-17 1-5 8-9 1 3 0 0 0 23 10 -15.9
Rob Whaley Jr. * 33 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 6 5 -21.8
Keylan Boone * 33 9-16 6-12 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 24 10 -
Player #4396969 * 32 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
K. Boone * 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
Shane Nowell 18 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 2 6 +3.9
Justin Webster 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +11.9
Isaiah Cottrell 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 +12.7
Jackie Johnson III 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6
Karl Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Davidson * 37 4-11 0-3 3-4 10 3 1 0 2 11 12 +15.7
Kenan Blackshear * 37 5-10 0-2 6-6 3 9 1 1 3 16 17 +15.5
Tre Coleman * 33 2-2 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 2 0 7 16 -
Player #4431765 * 32 8-16 4-9 6-7 3 1 0 0 3 26 11 -
K.J. Hymes * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Daniel Foster 26 1-1 0-0 4-4 4 1 2 0 0 6 12 -0.4
Hunter McIntosh 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -0.7
Tyler Rolison 8 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 +2.1
Tylan Pope 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter