Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon Ledee * | 34 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Darrion Trammell * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Micah Parrish * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Lamont Butler * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Jay Pal * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Elijah Saunders | 27 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Miles Byrd | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.9 |
| R. Waters | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Miles Heide | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylan Boone * | 40 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Rob Whaley Jr. * | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 5 | +4.2 |
| K. Boone * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +16.8 |
| Karl Jones | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2.0 |
| Justin Webster | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jackie Johnson III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Shane Nowell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter