Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Brown II * | 39 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Great Osobor * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 12-13 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Ian Martinez * | 34 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Mason Falslev * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Josh Uduje | 22 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kalifa Sakho | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Karson Templin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Javon Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| K. Boone * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Keylan Boone * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Justin Webster * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Rob Whaley Jr. | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shane Nowell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter