Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Player #4396969 * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Justin Webster * | 31 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Boone * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Hill * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Keylan Boone | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rob Whaley Jr. | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shane Nowell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Waters | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jay Pal | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Miles Heide | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter