Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -15 (69-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Formann | 35 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Vonleh | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 32 | 6-11 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Q. Miller | 29 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| K. Wetta | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Sadler | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Smith | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Nolan | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. McLeod | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Whittaker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Atchison | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bradley | 39 | 1-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| C. Embry | 38 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Young | 37 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 12-15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 18 | - |
| T. Jones | 33 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Abdur-Rahim | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| TK Pitts | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Chandler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Perry | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter