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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean East II * 36 10-14 1-3 5-6 5 2 2 1 7 26 15 -15.7
Tamar Bates * 34 5-11 1-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 13 4 -3.0
Nick Honor * 32 2-13 2-10 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 -4 -9.7
Jordan Butler * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 +2.5
Aidan Shaw * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 5 +11.4
Noah Carter 32 6-11 4-6 2-2 4 1 3 0 1 18 14 -0.2
Trent Pierce 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 7 4 -6.4
Anthony Robinson II 17 2-3 0-1 3-4 2 3 0 0 0 7 9 +17.0
Mabor Majak 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -3.8
Jesus Carralero Martin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.9

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Wright * 34 2-9 0-4 6-8 4 1 0 0 3 10 3 +2.9
Trae Hannibal * 34 7-10 0-0 10-14 5 5 1 0 2 24 23 +4.5
Hunter Dean * 23 5-7 1-1 1-2 6 4 2 1 0 12 18 +14.2
Player #4431691 * 20 2-6 0-2 3-3 10 1 0 0 0 7 12 -
Mwani Wilkinson * 9 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -5.4
Tyrell Ward 30 5-10 3-7 1-2 2 2 0 1 2 14 7 -9.1
Derek Fountain 19 0-4 0-2 1-2 5 0 2 1 2 1 3 -6.5
Jalen Reed 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 2 -1 +11.3
Mike Williams III 13 3-6 1-3 3-4 1 0 2 1 2 10 6 +12.4

* = starter