Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +11 (94-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | -7.1 |
| Tyrell Ward * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -3.3 |
| Trae Hannibal * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -14.4 |
| Derek Fountain * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Player #4431691 * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Reed | 20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -7.6 |
| Hunter Dean | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Mike Williams III | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.2 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | +10.5 |
| Khalif Battle * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 13-14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 22 | +12.3 |
| Player #4897145 * | 32 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Trevon Brazile * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Chandler Lawson * | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Makhi Mitchell | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 19 | +5.5 |
| Jeremiah Davenport | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Davonte Davis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Joseph Pinion | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter