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2024-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 โœ“ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—

Actual: Florida Gators +18 (105-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Estrada * 37 8-14 0-3 1-2 5 3 2 0 2 17 11 -18.9
Mark Sears * 36 10-20 4-6 9-9 1 0 1 0 2 33 13 -15.0
Grant Nelson * 25 4-9 0-3 4-4 6 0 0 0 5 12 4 -13.3
Rylan Griffen * 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 3 2 -18.4
Jarin Stevenson * 14 1-4 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 -6.6
Nick Pringle 18 3-4 0-0 5-8 5 1 0 0 1 11 12 -0.1
Sam Walters 16 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 2 4 -12.0
Davin Cosby Jr. 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -5.5
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -0.3
Mouhamed Dioubate 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 -5.5
Mohamed Wague 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -4.1

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Walter Clayton Jr. * 38 3-12 1-5 15-16 2 3 1 0 3 22 13 +35.6
Zyon Pullin * 33 5-11 1-2 8-8 2 3 1 0 0 19 14 +13.0
Will Richard * 31 8-12 3-5 4-4 5 0 2 0 1 23 17 +2.3
Tyrese Samuel * 26 5-11 0-1 9-9 4 3 4 1 1 19 19 +8.1
Micah Handlogten * 14 0-2 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 0 0 2 8 +13.5
Thomas Haugh 20 1-4 0-2 0-1 7 1 0 0 0 2 6 +13.3
Alex Condon 20 4-6 1-2 1-2 7 0 0 3 2 10 12 +5.9
Riley Kugel 10 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 3 5 +5.2
Denzel Aberdeen 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 4 +4.2
Alex Klatsky 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Bennett Andersen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Jack May 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter