Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -27 (74-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +15.9 |
| Jaylin Williams * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +17.1 |
| Johni Broome * | 23 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +14.9 |
| Denver Jones * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +19.4 |
| Aden Holloway * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +13.6 |
| Tre Donaldson | 19 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 17 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1.3 |
| K.D. Johnson | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Chaney Johnson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -3.5 |
| Chris Moore | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Blake Muschalek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean East II * | 37 | 4-17 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | -27.0 |
| Nick Honor * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Aidan Shaw * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | -16.6 |
| Tamar Bates * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -7.8 |
| Jordan Butler * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Noah Carter | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -8.2 |
| Jesus Carralero Martin | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -9.6 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Mabor Majak | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Curt Lewis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Trent Pierce | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Jackson Francois | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter