Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 36 | 6-15 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | -16.0 |
| Tolu Smith III * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | -12.0 |
| Cameron Matthews * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | -15.2 |
| Shakeel Moore * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Dashawn Davis | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -11.2 |
| D.J. Jeffries | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -6.5 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.9 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Jones * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +17.5 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | +13.3 |
| Johni Broome * | 24 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +11.5 |
| Jaylin Williams * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +15.7 |
| Aden Holloway * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9.0 |
| Tre Donaldson | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +8.5 |
| Chaney Johnson | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +5.7 |
| Lior Berman | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +1.8 |
| K.D. Johnson | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chris Moore | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
* = starter