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2024-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khalif Battle * 39 8-16 1-4 17-18 8 1 2 0 0 34 29 -7.9
Tramon Mark * 34 10-20 3-6 0-0 4 3 4 0 4 23 10 +4.2
Chandler Lawson * 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -6.3
El Ellis * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 1 -14.5
Trevon Brazile * 15 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 5 -1.7
Davonte Davis 26 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 4 6 -5.5
Jeremiah Davenport 25 4-6 3-5 3-3 5 1 0 0 2 14 12 -4.2
Makhi Mitchell 16 4-6 0-0 5-5 2 2 0 0 2 13 9 -3.6

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Reeves * 29 8-10 1-2 5-6 4 1 1 0 5 22 13 -2.0
D.J. Wagner * 26 6-7 4-5 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 19 12 +2.7
Adou Thiero * 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 1 1 5 6 -17.7
Justin Edwards * 13 3-4 1-1 3-4 1 1 3 0 1 10 10 -
Ugonna Onyenso * 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 -11.2
Reed Sheppard 34 3-7 2-4 2-2 1 5 0 0 3 10 6 +8.4
Rob Dillingham 24 5-13 0-3 5-5 2 5 1 0 1 15 9 +19.0
Zvonimir Ivisic 20 3-4 0-0 6-7 9 1 1 2 0 12 21 +9.8
Tre Mitchell 16 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 2 0 +14.3
Aaron Bradshaw 12 4-4 1-1 6-8 5 1 0 0 1 15 16 +9.5

* = starter