Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✗ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -20 (67-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 34 | 9-17 | 6-12 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 16 | +23.4 |
| Shakeel Moore * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +14.7 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Cameron Matthews * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +19.7 |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Player #4397882 | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +16.6 |
| Dashawn Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +11.8 |
| D.J. Jeffries | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +6.8 |
| Trey Fort | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Gai Chol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Adrian Myers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Isaac Stansbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -4.8 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Hannibal * | 36 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 6 | -20.5 |
| Jordan Wright * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -21.5 |
| Player #4431691 * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fountain * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Tyrell Ward * | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Mike Williams III | 24 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -26.7 |
| Jalen Reed | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -18.7 |
| Hunter Dean | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -14.9 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Trace Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Adam Benhayoune | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
* = starter