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2024-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% - โœ—
Margin 70.1% 29.9% -4.7 โœ— (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 79.6% 20.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 79.8% 20.2% - โœ—

Actual: LSU Tigers +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Reeves * 33 8-15 3-5 6-6 4 1 2 0 1 25 16 +5.4
Ugonna Onyenso * 32 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 3 2 4 -8.4
Adou Thiero * 30 4-9 0-2 0-0 9 2 2 4 0 8 16 -3.4
D.J. Wagner * 21 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -6.0
Justin Edwards * 19 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
Reed Sheppard 26 3-7 0-1 1-1 2 2 5 0 2 7 7 +1.0
Rob Dillingham 22 8-16 2-5 5-5 1 0 1 0 2 23 7 -9.7
Aaron Bradshaw 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.4
Jordan Burks 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.7
Zvonimir Ivisic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +8.9

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Wright * 38 4-15 3-8 2-4 4 4 2 0 4 13 4 +6.6
Tyrell Ward * 35 5-10 3-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 17 10 +8.4
Trae Hannibal * 30 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 7 1 0 0 7 19 +1.2
Will Baker * 26 3-9 1-3 1-3 7 0 1 2 3 8 6 +1.9
Derek Fountain * 19 4-5 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 9 11 +8.7
Jalen Reed 21 4-8 0-1 5-8 6 0 0 0 2 13 9 -5.1
Mike Williams III 15 1-3 1-1 3-4 1 0 1 1 2 6 4 -0.4
Hunter Dean 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 +0.4
Mwani Wilkinson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.9

* = starter