Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4897145 * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Khalif Battle * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Tramon Mark * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +5.4 |
| Davonte Davis * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3.9 |
| Jeremiah Davenport | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Makhi Mitchell | 23 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 22 | +1.3 |
| Keyon Menifield Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Baye Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Layden Blocker | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.0 |
| Joseph Pinion | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews * | 36 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | +6.8 |
| Shakeel Moore * | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Josh Hubbard * | 29 | 6-18 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Player #4397882 * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Dashawn Davis | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2.0 |
| D.J. Jeffries | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter