Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -24 (51-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Matthews * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| J. Hubbard * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Moore * | 28 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Player #4397882 * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Davis | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Murphy | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Bell Jr. | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| G. Chol | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Myers | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Honor * | 37 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 3 | - |
| T. Bates * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | - |
| N. Carter * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Lewis * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Butler * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Shaw | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Carralero Martin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson II | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Vanover | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Majak | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter