Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.6% | 20.4% | -7.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -17 (92-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears * | 36 | 7-19 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. * | 36 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| R. Griffen * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Estrada * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| G. Nelson * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Pringle | 15 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 14 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Walters | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Dioubate | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Scharnowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Cosby Jr. | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Spears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wright * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| W. Baker * | 27 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 14 | - |
| J. Reed * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams III * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Hannibal * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Cook | 29 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Ward | 28 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Fountain | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Dean | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Wilkinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter