Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +18 (99-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| R. Griffen * | 30 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A. Estrada * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| G. Nelson * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Pringle | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Dioubate | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Walters | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Wague | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Cosby Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| J. Broome * | 26 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| T. Donaldson * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Jones * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Moore * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Holloway | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Cardwell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Berman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sobera | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Harper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter