Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +32 (99-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Moore * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Hubbard * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Tolu Smith III * | 25 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dashawn Davis | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaquan Scott | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Gai Chol | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adrian Myers | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Estrada * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Rylan Griffen * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Grant Nelson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jarin Stevenson | 22 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Sam Walters | 20 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 19 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Mohamed Wague | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Davin Cosby Jr. | 9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Max Scharnowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kai Spears | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter