Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +32 (99-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Moore * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Matthews * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Hubbard * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| T. Smith * | 25 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Davis | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Scott | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Bell Jr. | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Chol | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Myers | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wrightsell Jr. * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Sears * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. Estrada * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Griffen * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Nelson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 22 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Walters | 20 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Dioubate | 19 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| M. Wague | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Cosby Jr. | 9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Scharnowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Spears | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter