Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +21 (95-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Graham * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Layden Blocker * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Khalif Battle * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Makhi Mitchell | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Keyon Menifield Jr. | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Denijay Harris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeremiah Davenport | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joseph Pinion | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lawson Blake | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cade Arbogast | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431691 * | 32 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Trae Hannibal * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Wright * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Reed * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mike Williams III * | 20 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Cook | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tyrell Ward | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Dean | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Trace Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adam Benhayoune | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter