Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | +0.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -7 (84-91). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Layden Blocker * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Graham * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Khalif Battle * | 15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Makhi Mitchell | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Keyon Menifield Jr. | 33 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jeremiah Davenport | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cade Arbogast | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denijay Harris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lawson Blake | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamar Bates * | 39 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Sean East II * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nick Honor * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Noah Carter * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Butler * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Robinson II | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Connor Vanover | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Curt Lewis | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Aidan Shaw | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mabor Majak | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter