Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johni Broome * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K.D. Johnson * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tre Donaldson * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Moore * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Denver Jones | 20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Aden Holloway | 19 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Chaney Johnson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lior Berman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Tolu Smith III * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Josh Hubbard * | 29 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Dashawn Davis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Fort | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter