Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +21 (109-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wright * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams III * | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Player #4431691 * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Reed * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Cook * | 20 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Hannibal | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Ward | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Fountain | 19 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| H. Dean | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Wilkinson | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4593385 * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Player #4703530 * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 11-11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. * | 29 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| G. Nelson * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Griffen * | 18 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Dioubate | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Walters | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| N. Pringle | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Cosby Jr. | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Wague | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Spears | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Scharnowski | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter