Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Broome * | 26 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 27 | - |
| A. Holloway * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Jones * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore * | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Donaldson | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Cardwell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Berman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sears * | 38 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
| L. Wrightsell Jr. * | 33 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| G. Nelson * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| A. Estrada * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Pringle * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Griffen | 31 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Wague | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Dioubate | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Walters | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter