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2024-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Griffen * 36 6-12 1-5 4-4 6 2 0 0 2 17 11 -
Player #4703530 * 33 6-12 2-5 8-8 1 2 0 0 2 22 11 -
G. Nelson * 33 2-7 1-3 4-6 9 1 3 3 2 9 16 -
Player #4593385 * 31 3-11 1-4 2-2 5 1 2 0 3 9 3 -
N. Pringle * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
L. Wrightsell Jr. 27 6-11 5-9 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 19 10 -
M. Wague 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
S. Walters 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Stevenson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
M. Dioubate 8 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Jeffries * 34 3-7 1-2 2-2 7 1 2 2 0 9 14 -
S. Moore * 29 6-10 1-2 0-2 3 1 2 0 2 13 7 -
Player #4397882 * 29 5-15 0-0 5-10 10 3 0 1 5 15 9 -
C. Matthews * 22 5-6 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
D. Davis * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 1 1 0 2 -
J. Hubbard 22 3-11 2-7 6-8 2 1 1 0 1 14 6 -
S. Jones Jr. 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
T. Fort 12 2-5 2-4 0-1 2 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
J. Bell Jr. 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Scott 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter