Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +15 (93-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wright * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| W. Baker * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Cook * | 19 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | - |
| D. Fountain * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Williams III * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Ward | 27 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Hannibal | 23 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Reed | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| H. Dean | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Wilkinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams * | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| A. Holloway * | 23 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Broome * | 22 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Jones * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Moore * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 28 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Donaldson | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Cardwell | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | - |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Berman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter