Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.2% | 16.8% | -8.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -32 (51-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Williams * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Johni Broome * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Aden Holloway * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Denver Jones * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chris Moore * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 21 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tre Donaldson | 20 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chaney Johnson | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Lior Berman | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Addarin Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Brazile * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Keyon Menifield Jr. * | 31 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Tramon Mark * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Graham * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Davonte Davis | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Khalif Battle | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Makhi Mitchell | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| El Ellis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joseph Pinion | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Baye Fall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Denijay Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Layden Blocker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter