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2024-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“

Actual: Dayton Flyers +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Huffman * 33 0-7 0-3 4-4 7 3 0 0 4 4 3 -14.5
Connor Kochera * 29 5-12 2-6 6-8 5 3 4 0 1 18 17 -7.4
Reed Bailey * 27 5-13 0-4 2-2 2 2 2 1 0 12 6 -1.8
Bobby Durkin * 22 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 4 -0.9
Sean Logan * 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -12.9
Angelo Brizzi 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 5 3 -22.8
Riccardo Ghedini 15 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 5 7 +5.1
Achile Spadone 13 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
Hunter Adam 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -12.9
Jarvis Moss 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6.9
Mike Loughnane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0
Rikus Schulte 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +5.0

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Santos * 33 4-11 1-6 1-1 8 2 0 1 4 10 6 +13.2
Enoch Cheeks * 31 5-6 1-2 4-4 3 3 4 0 5 15 14 +10.9
DaRon Holmes II * 30 5-9 0-1 4-5 10 3 1 2 1 14 20 +10.8
Javon Bennett * 29 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 10 11 +10.8
Kobe Elvis * 27 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 11 6 +8.8
Koby Brea 27 6-10 5-9 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 17 12 +24.0
Isaac Jack 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 +5.0
Petras Padegimas 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 2 +1.0
Atticus Schuler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Makai Grant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.0
Brady Uhl 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.0
CJ Napier 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.0

* = starter