Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaRon Holmes II * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23 | -0.5 |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Kobe Elvis * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | +4.9 |
| Javon Bennett * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Nate Santos * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Koby Brea | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Isaac Jack | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Petras Padegimas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Ronald Polite III * | 34 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Baraka Okojie * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +1.3 |
| Amari Kelly * | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -7.7 |
| Jared Billups * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Darius Maddox | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Malik Henry | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +11.2 |
| Austin Ball | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Woody Newton | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Tre Wood | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
* = starter