Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morrow | 39 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Reese | 37 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| F. Johnson | 37 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Williams | 35 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 31 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Poa | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Kent | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Del Rosario | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carter | 33 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Jordan | 32 | 9-17 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| D. Powe | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Sheppard | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Rogers | 25 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| E. Barnum | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Park-Lane | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Q. Montague | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Gony | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter