Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skye Miller | 32 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| I. Finley | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Cheyenne Stubbs | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Knapp | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Mullings | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| A. Verdan | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Hill-Brown | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Samiana Suguturaga | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Isabella Tanedo | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Stimpson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -6 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laney Amundsen | 33 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Adams | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Amiyah Ferguson | 27 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 7-10 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Elsholz | 26 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Talo Li-Uperesa | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Rachel Harvey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| O. Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Spriggs | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Nikishina | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Lizama | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hayden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter