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2023-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hsu 37 12-19 3-7 4-4 7 0 5 1 3 31 22 -
K. Henderson 31 4-8 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 10 9 -
F. Henderson 26 1-6 0-3 2-2 6 2 1 1 3 4 5 -
C. Collins 24 4-8 0-3 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 9 5 -
N. Stephens 22 1-5 0-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
P. Page 20 3-8 0-4 3-4 7 1 0 2 0 9 11 -
S. Rafiu 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
R. Weiss 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
N. Comesana 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
P. Lauder 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Sciolla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Werth 37 7-9 6-8 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 20 18 -
J. Gayles 36 2-16 1-6 7-8 6 2 0 0 3 12 1 -
L. Leite 31 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 10 1 0 5 0 5 -
D. dos Santos 29 10-18 0-0 0-1 10 2 2 1 1 20 16 -
C. Fulcher 28 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 6 7 -
A. Keita 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
S. Thiam 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 2 1 -
P. Tirado 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Barbosa 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter