Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. King | 38 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Karlen | 37 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| R. Nkumu | 36 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Hare | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| F. Hottinger | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Forbes | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Volker | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Cracknell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bullman | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Wong | 34 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| A. Aalsma | 32 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Waite | 32 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Wilson | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Coffey | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Lenz | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Dowell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter