Model Predictions
| Model | St. Thomas Tommies | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Hill | 38 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Amber Scalia | 35 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Glynn | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Jo Langbehn | 30 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Phoebe Frentzel | 24 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Faith Feuerbach | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Miner | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hammond | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lizzie Steingraber | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordyn Lamker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayla Dalton | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Hannah Rapp | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Emily Foy | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Z. Aokuso | 22 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Maia Jones | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Wedin | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Bamberger | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mak. Mastora | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Hanafin | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Vlahov | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nadia Bernard | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter