Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.1 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brunelle | 32 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P. Clark | 26 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Smith | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Johnson | 21 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| C. Taylor | 21 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| E. Noyan | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| O. McGhee | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Lawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morrow | 40 | 15-25 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 29 | - |
| F. Johnson | 39 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 36 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L. Poa | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Del Rosario | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Kent | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter