Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -6.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +14 (61-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Christian | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. DeCesare | 29 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Amaya Staton | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| R. Caso | 26 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Owens | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| P. Garcia | 19 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Manion | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Johnson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Roman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thalia Shepard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Redmond | 34 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Schiffer | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Langan | 32 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| M. Firebaugh | 30 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| K. Deveney | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Lynch | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Cos-Morales | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Bruintjes | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. McIver | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Blake | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter