Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -10 (74-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Waters * | 35 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 33 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Jay Pal | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Miles Heide | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Watson * | 40 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 40 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Nolan Hickman * | 39 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Graham Ike * | 31 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Dusty Stromer * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Braden Huff | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Yeo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter